即便美军拥有绝对制空权，伊朗只需通过水雷布置或岸基反舰导弹打击，即可将油价推升至每桶130美元的极端高位。根据经济模型推算，这意味着美国零售汽油价格将突破每加仑三美元大关，直接削减美国消费者的购买力。这种经济成本不仅是对军事行动的税收，更是伊朗通过能源市场对美国选民进行的一种政治反击。特朗普政府在缺乏国际能源对冲协议的情况下发起行动，实际上是将美国的通胀控制权交到了伊朗手中。
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